Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.455237 0.500301 0.548639 0.604467 0.667323 0.736079 0.817214
2025-10-26 0.382725 0.445440 0.517569 0.607196 0.716318 0.845804 1.012488
2025-11-02 0.342126 0.413694 0.499961 0.612687 0.757696 0.940155 1.190625
2025-11-09 0.305151 0.379861 0.473212 0.600067 0.770512 0.995340 1.320715
2025-11-16 0.283504 0.362023 0.463302 0.605835 0.805057 1.079509 1.496852
2025-11-23 0.262121 0.341995 0.447836 0.601334 0.823365 1.141163 1.646296
2025-11-30 0.246765 0.328379 0.439247 0.604605 0.851643 1.218367 1.826790
2025-12-07 0.229964 0.311242 0.424043 0.596427 0.861364 1.267590 1.968037
2025-12-14 0.215473 0.296168 0.410377 0.588882 0.870566 1.315831 2.112346
2025-12-21 0.199132 0.277261 0.389676 0.568742 0.857740 1.326683 2.192805
2025-12-28 0.192510 0.272063 0.388727 0.578724 0.893577 1.420590 2.432049
2026-01-04 0.185798 0.266221 0.386265 0.585861 0.924970 1.509630 2.674056
2026-01-11 0.178499 0.259163 0.381634 0.589393 0.951068 1.593089 2.919892
2026-01-18 0.171520 0.252178 0.376647 0.591904 0.975574 1.676330 3.178451
2026-01-25 0.165731 0.246668 0.373567 0.597231 1.005311 1.772217 3.478169
2026-02-01 0.156844 0.235710 0.360928 0.584995 1.001551 1.802668 3.639581
2026-02-08 0.152124 0.231191 0.358579 0.590588 1.031525 1.903044 3.975302
2026-02-15 0.145892 0.223851 0.351034 0.586223 1.041826 1.964116 4.228654
2026-02-22 0.141456 0.219232 0.347798 0.589395 1.067023 2.058994 4.580894
2026-03-01 0.135413 0.211612 0.338951 0.581465 1.069135 2.104093 4.814538
2026-03-08 0.129872 0.204577 0.330740 0.574148 1.071798 2.150569 5.060050
2026-03-15 0.122724 0.194481 0.316629 0.554615 1.047351 2.132939 5.127981
2026-03-22 0.120554 0.192875 0.317547 0.564297 1.085651 2.264883 5.641342